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AusClinBench:依据澳大利亚现行临床政策对大型语言模型进行确定性评分的基准

AusClinBench: a deterministically scored benchmark of large language models against current Australian clinical policy

Daniel S. Epstein

中文摘要

AI 模型已参与澳大利亚临床决策与病历起草,但临床软件通常不会告知从业者所用模型。现有医学基准多面向其他司法辖区。基准依据澳大利亚指南与清单编写 142 道题,覆盖 PBS 权限、MBS 收费、Ahpra 义务、分诊危险信号、免疫接种与筛查五个领域,每题均有唯一可验证答案并按精确匹配计分。题目分别以盲测和提供适用条款的方式测试,用于区分规则记忆失败与规则应用失败。2026 年 7 月至 10 月间共测试 28 个模型;盲测准确率为 51.5%—92.7%,最高分模型之间无法区分。791 个错误回答中,684 个(86%)在盲测错误、提供条款后正确;自信错误率为 6.6%—47.8%。5 道指南未作明确指示的免疫接种题中,82% 的回答却给出具体指示。20 道 Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander 健康题整体表现未更差,但部分错误答案误用普通人群规则、旧规则或其他国家规则。研究建议将模型视为临床产品的一种成分,并为其遵守本地规则设定与产品评测并列的最低标准。答案由一名全科医生编写,尚未经独立审查。该基准评测基础模型而非临床产品,也不授权任何模型用于临床。

关键要点

  1. 01现有医学基准主要面向其他司法辖区,难以衡量模型对澳大利亚现行临床政策的掌握。
  2. 02基于五个临床政策领域编制 142 题,以精确匹配提供确定性评分,并区分规则记忆与应用失败。
  3. 0328 个模型的盲测准确率为 51.5%—92.7%,最高分模型之间无法区分。
  4. 04791 个错误回答中 86% 可在提供适用条款后纠正,自信错误率最高达 47.8%。
  5. 05部分模型会在指南未作指示时擅自作答,或误用旧规则及其他国家规则。

解读

尚无解读。

原始英文摘要

arXiv:2610.31993v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: AI models already inform clinical decisions and draft notes in Australian clinical software, usually without the practitioner being told which model is used. Existing medical benchmarks are written for other jurisdictions. We wrote 142 questions from Australian guidelines and schedules across five domains (PBS authority, MBS billing, Ahpra obligations, triage red flags, immunisation and screening), each with one verifiable answer scored by exact match. Each question ran blind and with the governing clause supplied, which separates failure to recall the current rule from failure to apply it. We tested 28 models between July and October 2026. Blind accuracy ranged from 51.5% to 92.7%, and the highest-scoring models could not be separated. Of 791 failed model-question pairs, 684 (86%) were wrong blind and right with the clause. Confident-error rates ranged from 6.6% to 47.8%. On five immunisation questions where the guideline gives no directive, 82% of answers stated one. On 20 Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander health questions, models did no worse overall, but on a few the wrong answers gave the rule for the general population, an older rule or another country's rule. We propose treating the model as an ingredient of a clinical product, with a minimum standard on local rules that sits beside product evaluation. The keys are one general practitioner's and are not yet independently reviewed. The benchmark measures base models, not clinical products, and does not license any model for clinical use.

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